NCR now at ‘low risk’ for COVID-19

Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, February 10) — The risk level for COVID-19 in the National Capital Region has risen to low, according to research group OCTA.

“As predicted two weeks ago, NCR is moving to low risk from February 9, 2022,” OCTA researcher Guido David tweeted on Wednesday.

He noted that the reproduction number of COVID-19 in Metro Manila during the week of Feb. 3-9 increased from 0.41 to 0.25. This is the average number of people that can be infected by one COVID-positive individual. A reproduction number of less than one means the transmission of the virus is slowing down.

David also said capital region hospital utilization fell to “very low” at 29.6% from 37%. The positivity rate, on the other hand, fell from 15% to 9.1%, which is considered “moderate” but still above the ideal level of 5% set by the World Health Organization.

The average daily attack rate, or the ratio of confirmed infections in a certain area per population, also fell from 17.83 at “moderate” to 6.67 per 100,000 people.

According to David, the seven-day average number of cases in Metro Manila last week had risen from 2,525 to 945.

Metro Manila is under Alert Level 2 until February 15.

The Metropolitan Manila Development Authority said on Tuesday that mayors across the region are ready to further ease restrictions to open up more industries and sectors.

The latest data shows the country has a total of 3,623,176 COVID-19 cases after 3,651 new cases were reported on Wednesday.

Among the new cases, Western Visayas accounted for the highest number with 523, while Metro Manila came second with 484.

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